Standard Bank (South Africa) Market Value
| SBK Stock | 22,321 227.00 1.01% |
| Symbol | Standard |
Standard Bank 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Standard Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Standard Bank.
| 02/07/2023 |
| 12/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Standard Bank on February 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Standard Bank Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Standard Bank over 690 days. Standard Bank is related to or competes with ABSA Bank, Capitec Bank, Capitec Bank, Absa, Nedbank, and Investec. More
Standard Bank Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Standard Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Standard Bank Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.6 |
Standard Bank Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Standard Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Standard Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Standard Bank historical prices to predict the future Standard Bank's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.45) |
Standard Bank Group Backtested Returns
Standard Bank Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the firm had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Standard Bank Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Standard Bank's Variance of 1.02, coefficient of variation of (642.62), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.37, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Standard Bank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Standard Bank is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Standard Bank Group has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Standard Bank's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Standard Bank Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.86 |
Very good predictability
Standard Bank Group has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Standard Bank time series from 7th of February 2023 to 18th of January 2024 and 18th of January 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Standard Bank Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Standard Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.82 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.2 M |
Standard Bank Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Standard Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Standard Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Standard Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Standard Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Standard Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Standard Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Standard Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Standard Bank stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Standard Bank Lagged Returns
When evaluating Standard Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Standard Bank stock have on its future price. Standard Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Standard Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Standard Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Standard Bank Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Standard Stock
Standard Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Standard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Standard with respect to the benefits of owning Standard Bank security.