Retail Estates (Germany) Market Value
| R6N Stock | EUR 59.20 0.90 1.54% |
| Symbol | Retail |
Retail Estates 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Retail Estates' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Retail Estates.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Retail Estates on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Retail Estates NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in Retail Estates over 90 days. Retail Estates is related to or competes with Titan Machinery, ALEFARM BREWING, Agricultural Bank, Dairy Farm, American Airlines, CARSALES, and DAIRY FARM. Retail Estates nv is a public regulated real estate company and more specifically a niche company that specialises in in... More
Retail Estates Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Retail Estates' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Retail Estates NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1147 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.74 |
Retail Estates Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Retail Estates' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Retail Estates' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Retail Estates historical prices to predict the future Retail Estates' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0269 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0136 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1656 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1081 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.28) |
Retail Estates NV Backtested Returns
At this point, Retail Estates is very steady. Retail Estates NV maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Retail Estates NV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Retail Estates' Coefficient Of Variation of 3549.0, risk adjusted performance of 0.0269, and Semi Deviation of 1.05 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0039%. The company holds a Beta of -0.0793, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Retail Estates are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Retail Estates is likely to outperform the market. Retail Estates NV right now holds a risk of 1.17%. Please check Retail Estates NV treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Retail Estates NV will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.52 |
Good reverse predictability
Retail Estates NV has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Retail Estates time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Retail Estates NV price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Retail Estates price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.52 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.25 |
Retail Estates NV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Retail Estates stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Retail Estates' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Retail Estates returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Retail Estates has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Retail Estates regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Retail Estates stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Retail Estates stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Retail Estates stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Retail Estates Lagged Returns
When evaluating Retail Estates' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Retail Estates stock have on its future price. Retail Estates autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Retail Estates autocorrelation shows the relationship between Retail Estates stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Retail Estates NV.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Retail Stock
Retail Estates financial ratios help investors to determine whether Retail Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Retail with respect to the benefits of owning Retail Estates security.