Pia Mbs Bond Fund Market Value

PMTGX Fund  USD 8.29  0.03  0.36%   
Pia Mbs' market value is the price at which a share of Pia Mbs trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pia Mbs Bond investors about its performance. Pia Mbs is trading at 8.29 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.36 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pia Mbs Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pia Mbs over a given investment horizon. Check out Pia Mbs Correlation, Pia Mbs Volatility and Pia Mbs Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pia Mbs.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pia Mbs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pia Mbs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pia Mbs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pia Mbs 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pia Mbs' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pia Mbs.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pia Mbs on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pia Mbs Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pia Mbs over 30 days. Pia Mbs is related to or competes with Fidelity Sai, Goldman Sachs, Ab Bond, Western Asset, Arrow Managed, American Funds, and T Rowe. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in mortgage-backed securities, including commercial mortgage-back... More

Pia Mbs Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pia Mbs' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pia Mbs Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pia Mbs Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pia Mbs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pia Mbs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pia Mbs historical prices to predict the future Pia Mbs' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.978.298.61
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.998.318.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pia Mbs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pia Mbs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pia Mbs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pia Mbs Bond.

Pia Mbs Bond Backtested Returns

Pia Mbs Bond maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0517, which implies the entity had a -0.0517% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pia Mbs Bond exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pia Mbs' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), coefficient of variation of (1,472), and Variance of 0.0982 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0209, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pia Mbs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pia Mbs is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Pia Mbs Bond has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pia Mbs time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pia Mbs Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Pia Mbs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Pia Mbs Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pia Mbs mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pia Mbs' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pia Mbs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pia Mbs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pia Mbs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pia Mbs mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pia Mbs mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pia Mbs mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pia Mbs Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pia Mbs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pia Mbs mutual fund have on its future price. Pia Mbs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pia Mbs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pia Mbs mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pia Mbs Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pia Mutual Fund

Pia Mbs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pia with respect to the benefits of owning Pia Mbs security.
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