Pace Mortgage Backed Securities Fund Market Value

PFXAX Fund  USD 10.19  0.03  0.29%   
Pace Mortgage's market value is the price at which a share of Pace Mortgage trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pace Mortgage Backed Securities investors about its performance. Pace Mortgage is trading at 10.19 as of the 17th of December 2024; that is 0.29% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pace Mortgage Backed Securities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pace Mortgage over a given investment horizon. Check out Pace Mortgage Correlation, Pace Mortgage Volatility and Pace Mortgage Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pace Mortgage.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pace Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pace Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pace Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pace Mortgage 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pace Mortgage's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pace Mortgage.
0.00
11/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/17/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pace Mortgage on November 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pace Mortgage Backed Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pace Mortgage over 30 days. Pace Mortgage is related to or competes with Pace Smallmedium, Pace International, Pace International, Ubs Allocation, Ubs Allocation, Pace Mortgage, and Ubs Emerging. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a diversified portfolio of mortgage-related fixed income instruments, including mortgage-backed securities , commercial mortgage-backed securities, to be announced securities and mortgage dollar rolls. More

Pace Mortgage Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pace Mortgage's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pace Mortgage Backed Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pace Mortgage Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pace Mortgage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pace Mortgage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pace Mortgage historical prices to predict the future Pace Mortgage's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7310.0710.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8810.2210.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pace Mortgage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pace Mortgage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pace Mortgage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pace Mortgage Backed.

Pace Mortgage Backed Backtested Returns

Pace Mortgage Backed maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.16, which implies the entity had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pace Mortgage Backed exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pace Mortgage's Variance of 0.1155, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Coefficient Of Variation of (588.56) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0397, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pace Mortgage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pace Mortgage is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Pace Mortgage Backed Securities has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pace Mortgage time series from 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024 and 2nd of December 2024 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pace Mortgage Backed price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Pace Mortgage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Pace Mortgage Backed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pace Mortgage mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pace Mortgage's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pace Mortgage returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pace Mortgage has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pace Mortgage regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pace Mortgage mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pace Mortgage mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pace Mortgage mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pace Mortgage Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pace Mortgage's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pace Mortgage mutual fund have on its future price. Pace Mortgage autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pace Mortgage autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pace Mortgage mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pace Mortgage Backed Securities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pace Mutual Fund

Pace Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pace Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pace with respect to the benefits of owning Pace Mortgage security.
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