Pebblebrook Hotel (Germany) Market Value
| PD0 Stock | 9.60 0.20 2.04% |
| Symbol | Pebblebrook |
Pebblebrook Hotel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pebblebrook Hotel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pebblebrook Hotel.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Pebblebrook Hotel on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pebblebrook Hotel Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pebblebrook Hotel over 90 days. Pebblebrook Hotel is related to or competes with INTER CARS, GEELY AUTOMOBILE, Grupo Carso, Commercial Vehicle, PSI Software, and Magic Software. More
Pebblebrook Hotel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pebblebrook Hotel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pebblebrook Hotel Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pebblebrook Hotel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pebblebrook Hotel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pebblebrook Hotel historical prices to predict the future Pebblebrook Hotel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.20) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.51) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 119.37 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pebblebrook Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Backtested Returns
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.25, which implies the firm had a -0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pebblebrook Hotel's Variance of 4.42, coefficient of variation of (417.93), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0043, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pebblebrook Hotel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pebblebrook Hotel is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has a negative expected return of -0.54%. Please make sure to check Pebblebrook Hotel's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Pebblebrook Hotel Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.08 |
Virtually no predictability
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pebblebrook Hotel time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Pebblebrook Hotel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.19 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.38 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Pebblebrook Hotel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pebblebrook Hotel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pebblebrook Hotel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pebblebrook Hotel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Pebblebrook Hotel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pebblebrook Hotel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pebblebrook Hotel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pebblebrook Hotel stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Pebblebrook Hotel Lagged Returns
When evaluating Pebblebrook Hotel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pebblebrook Hotel stock have on its future price. Pebblebrook Hotel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pebblebrook Hotel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pebblebrook Hotel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pebblebrook Hotel Trust.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Pebblebrook Stock Analysis
When running Pebblebrook Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Pebblebrook Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pebblebrook Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Pebblebrook Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pebblebrook Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pebblebrook Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pebblebrook Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.