Orca Energy Group Stock Market Value
| ORXGF Stock | USD 1.99 0.06 2.93% |
| Symbol | Orca |
Orca Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orca Energy's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orca Energy.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Orca Energy on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orca Energy Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orca Energy over 90 days. Orca Energy is related to or competes with PetroShale, Questerre Energy, Petrus Resources, Inpex Corp, Altura Energy, Touchstone Exploration, and Canacol Energy. Orca Energy Group Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of petroleum and natural gas to the... More
Orca Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orca Energy's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orca Energy Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.78 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0291 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 28.83 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.06 |
Orca Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orca Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orca Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orca Energy historical prices to predict the future Orca Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0159 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1173 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.6458 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0183 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0431 |
Orca Energy Group Backtested Returns
At this point, Orca Energy is dangerous. Orca Energy Group maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Orca Energy Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Orca Energy's Semi Deviation of 3.88, risk adjusted performance of 0.0159, and Coefficient Of Variation of 11310.25 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0432%. The company holds a Beta of 0.77, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Orca Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orca Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Orca Energy Group right now holds a risk of 4.89%. Please check Orca Energy Group information ratio, downside variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Orca Energy Group will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.07 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Orca Energy Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orca Energy time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orca Energy Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Orca Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.07 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Orca Energy Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Orca Energy pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orca Energy's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orca Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orca Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Orca Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orca Energy pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orca Energy pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orca Energy pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Orca Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Orca Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orca Energy pink sheet have on its future price. Orca Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orca Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orca Energy pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orca Energy Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Orca Pink Sheet
Orca Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orca Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orca with respect to the benefits of owning Orca Energy security.