LOreal SA (France) Market Value
| OR Stock | EUR 366.90 12.05 3.40% |
| Symbol | LOreal |
LOreal SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LOreal SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LOreal SA.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in LOreal SA on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LOreal SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in LOreal SA over 90 days. LOreal SA is related to or competes with LVMH Mot, Danone SA, Air Liquide, Hermes International, and Pernod Ricard. LOral S.A., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cosmetic products for women and men worldwide More
LOreal SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LOreal SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LOreal SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1481 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.26) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.48 |
LOreal SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LOreal SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LOreal SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LOreal SA historical prices to predict the future LOreal SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0767 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1428 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3076 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1424 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4876 |
LOreal SA Backtested Returns
At this point, LOreal SA is very steady. LOreal SA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0831, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0831 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for LOreal SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify LOreal SA's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0767, mean deviation of 1.24, and Downside Deviation of 1.59 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. LOreal SA has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.24, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, LOreal SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LOreal SA is expected to be smaller as well. LOreal SA right now secures a risk of 1.52%. Please verify LOreal SA treynor ratio, downside variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to decide if LOreal SA will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.72 |
Good predictability
LOreal SA has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LOreal SA time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LOreal SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current LOreal SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 80.66 |
LOreal SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is LOreal SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LOreal SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LOreal SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LOreal SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
LOreal SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LOreal SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LOreal SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LOreal SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
LOreal SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating LOreal SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LOreal SA stock have on its future price. LOreal SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LOreal SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between LOreal SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LOreal SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in LOreal Stock
LOreal SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOreal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOreal with respect to the benefits of owning LOreal SA security.