Deoleo SA (Spain) Market Value

OLE Stock  EUR 0.20  0.01  5.26%   
Deoleo SA's market value is the price at which a share of Deoleo SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deoleo SA investors about its performance. Deoleo SA is trading at 0.2 as of the 25th of January 2025, a 5.26% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 0.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deoleo SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deoleo SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Deoleo SA Correlation, Deoleo SA Volatility and Deoleo SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deoleo SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deoleo SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deoleo SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deoleo SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deoleo SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deoleo SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deoleo SA.
0.00
02/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
01/25/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deoleo SA on February 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deoleo SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deoleo SA over 720 days. Deoleo SA is related to or competes with Duro Felguera, Amper SA, and Berkeley Energia. Deoleo, S.A. engages in the production, transformation, and sale of vegetable oils, and other food and agricultural prod... More

Deoleo SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deoleo SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deoleo SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deoleo SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deoleo SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deoleo SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deoleo SA historical prices to predict the future Deoleo SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.202.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.172.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.202.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.200.21
Details

Deoleo SA Backtested Returns

Deoleo SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which denotes the company had a -0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Deoleo SA exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Deoleo SA's Mean Deviation of 1.49, variance of 6.61, and Standard Deviation of 2.57 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.55, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Deoleo SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deoleo SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Deoleo SA has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to confirm Deoleo SA's accumulation distribution, day typical price, and the relationship between the skewness and rate of daily change , to decide if Deoleo SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Deoleo SA has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deoleo SA time series from 5th of February 2023 to 31st of January 2024 and 31st of January 2024 to 25th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deoleo SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Deoleo SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Deoleo SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deoleo SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deoleo SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deoleo SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deoleo SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deoleo SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deoleo SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deoleo SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deoleo SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deoleo SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deoleo SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deoleo SA stock have on its future price. Deoleo SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deoleo SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deoleo SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deoleo SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Deoleo Stock

Deoleo SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deoleo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deoleo with respect to the benefits of owning Deoleo SA security.