Nextgen (Israel) Market Value

NXGN Stock  ILS 63.40  0.70  1.12%   
Nextgen's market value is the price at which a share of Nextgen trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nextgen investors about its performance. Nextgen is trading at 63.40 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 1.12% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 62.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nextgen and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nextgen over a given investment horizon. Check out Nextgen Correlation, Nextgen Volatility and Nextgen Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nextgen.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nextgen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nextgen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nextgen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nextgen 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nextgen's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nextgen.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nextgen on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nextgen or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nextgen over 30 days. Nextgen is related to or competes with Kamada, Bezeq Israeli, B Communications, Photomyne, M Yochananof, Clal Biotechnology, and ICL Israel. Nextgen Biomed Ltd, through its subsidiary, develops medicines for the treatment of psoriasis. More

Nextgen Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nextgen's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nextgen upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nextgen Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nextgen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nextgen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nextgen historical prices to predict the future Nextgen's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.4162.7068.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.5158.8065.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.9965.2871.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.2265.6472.06
Details

Nextgen Backtested Returns

Nextgen has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0459, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0459% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nextgen exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nextgen's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), mean deviation of 4.78, and Standard Deviation of 6.09 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.27, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nextgen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nextgen is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Nextgen has a negative expected return of -0.29%. Please make sure to verify Nextgen's skewness, accumulation distribution, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and daily balance of power , to decide if Nextgen performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Nextgen has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nextgen time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nextgen price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Nextgen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.53

Nextgen lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nextgen stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nextgen's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nextgen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nextgen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nextgen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nextgen stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nextgen stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nextgen stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nextgen Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nextgen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nextgen stock have on its future price. Nextgen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nextgen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nextgen stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nextgen.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Nextgen Stock

Nextgen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nextgen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nextgen with respect to the benefits of owning Nextgen security.