INSURANCE AUST (Germany) Market Value

NRM Stock  EUR 4.36  0.04  0.93%   
INSURANCE AUST's market value is the price at which a share of INSURANCE AUST trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of INSURANCE AUST GRP investors about its performance. INSURANCE AUST is trading at 4.36 as of the 15th of March 2025, a 0.93% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of INSURANCE AUST GRP and determine expected loss or profit from investing in INSURANCE AUST over a given investment horizon. Check out INSURANCE AUST Correlation, INSURANCE AUST Volatility and INSURANCE AUST Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on INSURANCE AUST.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between INSURANCE AUST's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if INSURANCE AUST is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, INSURANCE AUST's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

INSURANCE AUST 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to INSURANCE AUST's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of INSURANCE AUST.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in INSURANCE AUST on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding INSURANCE AUST GRP or generate 0.0% return on investment in INSURANCE AUST over 90 days. INSURANCE AUST is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, Globex Mining, EAT WELL, CapitaLand Investment, MCEWEN MINING, and PennyMac Mortgage. More

INSURANCE AUST Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure INSURANCE AUST's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess INSURANCE AUST GRP upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

INSURANCE AUST Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for INSURANCE AUST's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as INSURANCE AUST's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use INSURANCE AUST historical prices to predict the future INSURANCE AUST's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.084.366.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.324.606.88
Details

INSURANCE AUST GRP Backtested Returns

INSURANCE AUST GRP holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0757, which attests that the entity had a -0.0757 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. INSURANCE AUST GRP exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out INSURANCE AUST's risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.90) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.23, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, INSURANCE AUST's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding INSURANCE AUST is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, INSURANCE AUST GRP has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to check out INSURANCE AUST's skewness, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if INSURANCE AUST GRP performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

INSURANCE AUST GRP has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between INSURANCE AUST time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of INSURANCE AUST GRP price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current INSURANCE AUST price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

INSURANCE AUST GRP lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is INSURANCE AUST stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting INSURANCE AUST's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of INSURANCE AUST returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that INSURANCE AUST has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

INSURANCE AUST regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If INSURANCE AUST stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if INSURANCE AUST stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in INSURANCE AUST stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

INSURANCE AUST Lagged Returns

When evaluating INSURANCE AUST's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of INSURANCE AUST stock have on its future price. INSURANCE AUST autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, INSURANCE AUST autocorrelation shows the relationship between INSURANCE AUST stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in INSURANCE AUST GRP.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in INSURANCE Stock

INSURANCE AUST financial ratios help investors to determine whether INSURANCE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INSURANCE with respect to the benefits of owning INSURANCE AUST security.