Natural Health Trend Stock Market Value
| NHTC Stock | USD 5.44 0.04 0.73% |
| Symbol | Natural |
Is Wholesale space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Health. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Natural Health Trend is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Natural Health 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Health.
| 09/03/2024 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Natural Health on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Health Trend or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Health over 90 days. Natural Health is related to or competes with Liquidity Services, Hour Loop, Qurate Retail, Kidpik Corp, Solo Brands, 1StdibsCom, and Qurate Retail. Natural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle pr... More
Natural Health Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Health Trend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.85 |
Natural Health Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Health historical prices to predict the future Natural Health's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.67) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.38) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Health Trend Backtested Returns
Natural Health Trend has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the firm had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Natural Health exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Natural Health's Standard Deviation of 2.37, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 1.64 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.73, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Natural Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Health is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Natural Health Trend has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to verify Natural Health's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Natural Health Trend performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.45 |
Average predictability
Natural Health Trend has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Health time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Health Trend price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Natural Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.45 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.07 |
Natural Health Trend lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Natural Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Natural Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Natural Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Natural Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Natural Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Natural Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Natural Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Natural Health stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Natural Health Lagged Returns
When evaluating Natural Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Natural Health stock have on its future price. Natural Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Natural Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Natural Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Natural Health Trend.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Natural Health Trend offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Health Trend Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Health Trend Stock:Check out Natural Health Correlation, Natural Health Volatility and Natural Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Natural Health. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Natural Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.