IShares NAFTRAC (Mexico) Market Value

NAFTRACISHRS  MXN 50.99  0.48  0.95%   
IShares NAFTRAC's market value is the price at which a share of IShares NAFTRAC trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of iShares NAFTRAC investors about its performance. IShares NAFTRAC is trading at 50.99 as of the 23rd of January 2025, a 0.95 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 50.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of iShares NAFTRAC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in IShares NAFTRAC over a given investment horizon. Check out IShares NAFTRAC Correlation, IShares NAFTRAC Volatility and IShares NAFTRAC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on IShares NAFTRAC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares NAFTRAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares NAFTRAC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares NAFTRAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

IShares NAFTRAC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IShares NAFTRAC's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IShares NAFTRAC.
0.00
12/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in IShares NAFTRAC on December 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding iShares NAFTRAC or generate 0.0% return on investment in IShares NAFTRAC over 30 days. IShares NAFTRAC is related to or competes with IShares Trust, IShares Trust, IShares Trust, IShares Trust, IShares Trust, IShares Trust, and IShares IShares. iShares NAFTRAC is an exchange traded fund launched by Nacional Financiera S.N.C More

IShares NAFTRAC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IShares NAFTRAC's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess iShares NAFTRAC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

IShares NAFTRAC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IShares NAFTRAC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IShares NAFTRAC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IShares NAFTRAC historical prices to predict the future IShares NAFTRAC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.1950.9951.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.1150.9151.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.1351.9252.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.6250.3152.00
Details

iShares NAFTRAC Backtested Returns

iShares NAFTRAC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.025, which attests that the entity had a -0.025 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. iShares NAFTRAC exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out IShares NAFTRAC's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 0.7757, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.30) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.19, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, IShares NAFTRAC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding IShares NAFTRAC is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

iShares NAFTRAC has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IShares NAFTRAC time series from 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025 and 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of iShares NAFTRAC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current IShares NAFTRAC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

iShares NAFTRAC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is IShares NAFTRAC etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IShares NAFTRAC's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IShares NAFTRAC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IShares NAFTRAC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

IShares NAFTRAC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IShares NAFTRAC etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IShares NAFTRAC etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IShares NAFTRAC etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

IShares NAFTRAC Lagged Returns

When evaluating IShares NAFTRAC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IShares NAFTRAC etf have on its future price. IShares NAFTRAC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IShares NAFTRAC autocorrelation shows the relationship between IShares NAFTRAC etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in iShares NAFTRAC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf

IShares NAFTRAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares NAFTRAC security.