Mission Valley Bancorp Stock Market Value

MVLY Stock  USD 15.35  0.20  1.29%   
Mission Valley's market value is the price at which a share of Mission Valley trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mission Valley Bancorp investors about its performance. Mission Valley is trading at 15.35 as of the 15th of March 2025; that is 1.29% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 15.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mission Valley Bancorp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mission Valley over a given investment horizon. Check out Mission Valley Correlation, Mission Valley Volatility and Mission Valley Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mission Valley.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mission Valley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mission Valley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mission Valley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mission Valley 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mission Valley's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mission Valley.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mission Valley on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mission Valley Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mission Valley over 90 days. Mission Valley is related to or competes with Pacific Valley, American Business, Pinnacle Bank, and Pacific Financial. Mission Valley Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Mission Valley Bank that provides various banking produc... More

Mission Valley Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mission Valley's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mission Valley Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mission Valley Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mission Valley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mission Valley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mission Valley historical prices to predict the future Mission Valley's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8615.3516.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8513.3416.89
Details

Mission Valley Bancorp Backtested Returns

Mission Valley Bancorp has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the firm had a -0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mission Valley exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mission Valley's Mean Deviation of 0.6755, standard deviation of 1.44, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mission Valley are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mission Valley is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Mission Valley Bancorp has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to verify Mission Valley's total risk alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Mission Valley Bancorp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Mission Valley Bancorp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mission Valley time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mission Valley Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Mission Valley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28

Mission Valley Bancorp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mission Valley otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mission Valley's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mission Valley returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mission Valley has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mission Valley regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mission Valley otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mission Valley otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mission Valley otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mission Valley Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mission Valley's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mission Valley otc stock have on its future price. Mission Valley autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mission Valley autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mission Valley otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mission Valley Bancorp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Mission OTC Stock Analysis

When running Mission Valley's price analysis, check to measure Mission Valley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mission Valley is operating at the current time. Most of Mission Valley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mission Valley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mission Valley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mission Valley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.