Molten Ventures (UK) Market Value

MVCT Fund   38.50  0.00  0.00%   
Molten Ventures' market value is the price at which a share of Molten Ventures trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Molten Ventures VCT investors about its performance. Molten Ventures is selling for under 38.50 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 38.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Molten Ventures VCT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Molten Ventures over a given investment horizon. Check out Molten Ventures Correlation, Molten Ventures Volatility and Molten Ventures Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Molten Ventures.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Molten Ventures' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Molten Ventures is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Molten Ventures' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Molten Ventures 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Molten Ventures' fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Molten Ventures.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Molten Ventures on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Molten Ventures VCT or generate 0.0% return on investment in Molten Ventures over 30 days. Molten Ventures is related to or competes with Polar Capital, Sanlam Global, and Amundi MSCI. Molten Ventures is entity of United Kingdom More

Molten Ventures Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Molten Ventures' fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Molten Ventures VCT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Molten Ventures Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Molten Ventures' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Molten Ventures' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Molten Ventures historical prices to predict the future Molten Ventures' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4738.5039.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.1735.2042.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.4737.5138.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.5038.5038.50
Details

Molten Ventures VCT Backtested Returns

Molten Ventures VCT has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Molten Ventures exposes sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Molten Ventures' Standard Deviation of 1.03, mean deviation of 0.2487, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.72, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Molten Ventures are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Molten Ventures is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Molten Ventures VCT has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Molten Ventures time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Molten Ventures VCT price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Molten Ventures price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Molten Ventures VCT lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Molten Ventures fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Molten Ventures' fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Molten Ventures returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Molten Ventures has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Molten Ventures regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Molten Ventures fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Molten Ventures fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Molten Ventures fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Molten Ventures Lagged Returns

When evaluating Molten Ventures' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Molten Ventures fund have on its future price. Molten Ventures autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Molten Ventures autocorrelation shows the relationship between Molten Ventures fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Molten Ventures VCT.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Molten Fund

Molten Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Molten Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Molten with respect to the benefits of owning Molten Ventures security.
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