Muangthai Capital (Thailand) Market Value

MTC Stock  THB 44.25  0.50  1.14%   
Muangthai Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Muangthai Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Muangthai Capital Public investors about its performance. Muangthai Capital is selling for 44.25 as of the 16th of March 2025. This is a 1.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 43.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Muangthai Capital Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Muangthai Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Muangthai Capital Correlation, Muangthai Capital Volatility and Muangthai Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Muangthai Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Muangthai Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Muangthai Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Muangthai Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Muangthai Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Muangthai Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Muangthai Capital.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Muangthai Capital on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Muangthai Capital Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Muangthai Capital over 90 days. Muangthai Capital is related to or competes with Srisawad Power, Gulf Energy, Krungthai Card, Carabao Group, and Energy Absolute. Muangthai Capital Public Company Limited provides various lending services in Thailand More

Muangthai Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Muangthai Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Muangthai Capital Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Muangthai Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Muangthai Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Muangthai Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Muangthai Capital historical prices to predict the future Muangthai Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.1444.2546.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.8945.0047.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.9542.0644.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.1945.5648.92
Details

Muangthai Capital Public Backtested Returns

Muangthai Capital Public has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0738, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0738 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Muangthai Capital exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Muangthai Capital's Mean Deviation of 1.62, standard deviation of 2.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.83, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Muangthai Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Muangthai Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Muangthai Capital Public has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to verify Muangthai Capital's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Muangthai Capital Public performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

Muangthai Capital Public has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Muangthai Capital time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Muangthai Capital Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Muangthai Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.04

Muangthai Capital Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Muangthai Capital stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Muangthai Capital's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Muangthai Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Muangthai Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Muangthai Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Muangthai Capital stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Muangthai Capital stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Muangthai Capital stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Muangthai Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Muangthai Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Muangthai Capital stock have on its future price. Muangthai Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Muangthai Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Muangthai Capital stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Muangthai Capital Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Muangthai Stock

Muangthai Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Muangthai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Muangthai with respect to the benefits of owning Muangthai Capital security.