Marriott International (Germany) Market Value

MAQ Stock  EUR 219.70  1.60  0.72%   
Marriott International's market value is the price at which a share of Marriott International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Marriott International investors about its performance. Marriott International is trading at 219.70 as of the 17th of March 2025. This is a 0.72 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 219.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Marriott International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Marriott International over a given investment horizon. Check out Marriott International Correlation, Marriott International Volatility and Marriott International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marriott International.
For more detail on how to invest in Marriott Stock please use our How to Invest in Marriott International guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Marriott International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marriott International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marriott International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marriott International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Marriott International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Marriott International.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Marriott International on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Marriott International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Marriott International over 90 days. Marriott International is related to or competes with Sunny Optical, Take-Two Interactive, Kingdee International, Carsales, Vishay Intertechnology, Motorcar Parts, and CARSALES. Marriott International, Inc. operates, franchises, and licenses hotel, residential, and timeshare properties worldwide More

Marriott International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Marriott International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Marriott International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Marriott International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Marriott International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Marriott International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Marriott International historical prices to predict the future Marriott International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
217.75219.70221.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
178.20180.15241.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
210.49212.44214.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
206.65231.89257.13
Details

Marriott International Backtested Returns

Marriott International has Sharpe Ratio of -0.17, which conveys that the firm had a -0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Marriott International exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Marriott International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), mean deviation of 1.37, and Standard Deviation of 1.92 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.5, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Marriott International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Marriott International is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Marriott International has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to verify Marriott International's daily balance of power, price action indicator, and the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Marriott International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.49  

Modest reverse predictability

Marriott International has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Marriott International time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Marriott International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Marriott International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance321.98

Marriott International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Marriott International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Marriott International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Marriott International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Marriott International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Marriott International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Marriott International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Marriott International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Marriott International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Marriott International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Marriott International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Marriott International stock have on its future price. Marriott International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Marriott International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Marriott International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Marriott International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Marriott Stock

When determining whether Marriott International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Marriott International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Marriott International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Marriott Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Marriott International Correlation, Marriott International Volatility and Marriott International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Marriott International.
For more detail on how to invest in Marriott Stock please use our How to Invest in Marriott International guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Marriott International technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Marriott International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Marriott International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...