Melco Resorts (Brazil) Market Value
| M1LC34 Stock | BRL 17.72 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Melco |
Please note, there is a significant difference between Melco Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Melco Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Melco Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Melco Resorts 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Melco Resorts' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Melco Resorts.
| 11/05/2024 |
| 01/04/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Melco Resorts on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Melco Resorts Entertainment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Melco Resorts over 60 days. Melco Resorts is related to or competes with Costco Wholesale, Universal Health, Unity Software, and Salesforce. More
Melco Resorts Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Melco Resorts' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Melco Resorts Entertainment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.78 |
Melco Resorts Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Melco Resorts' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Melco Resorts' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Melco Resorts historical prices to predict the future Melco Resorts' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.41) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.46) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.1 |
Melco Resorts Entert Backtested Returns
Melco Resorts Entert has Sharpe Ratio of -0.15, which conveys that the firm had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Melco Resorts exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Melco Resorts' Standard Deviation of 2.68, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 1.38 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Melco Resorts are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Melco Resorts is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Melco Resorts Entert has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to verify Melco Resorts' maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Melco Resorts Entert performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.32 |
Poor reverse predictability
Melco Resorts Entertainment has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Melco Resorts time series from 5th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Melco Resorts Entert price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Melco Resorts price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.32 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.05 |
Melco Resorts Entert lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Melco Resorts stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Melco Resorts' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Melco Resorts returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Melco Resorts has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Melco Resorts regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Melco Resorts stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Melco Resorts stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Melco Resorts stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Melco Resorts Lagged Returns
When evaluating Melco Resorts' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Melco Resorts stock have on its future price. Melco Resorts autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Melco Resorts autocorrelation shows the relationship between Melco Resorts stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Melco Resorts Entertainment.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Melco Stock
When determining whether Melco Resorts Entert offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Melco Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Melco Resorts Entertainment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Melco Resorts Entertainment Stock:Check out Melco Resorts Correlation, Melco Resorts Volatility and Melco Resorts Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Melco Resorts. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Melco Resorts technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.