Melco Resorts (Brazil) Volatility
| M1LC34 Stock | BRL 17.72 0.00 0.00% |
Melco Resorts Entert has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Melco Resorts exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Melco Resorts' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), standard deviation of 2.74, and Mean Deviation of 1.4 to check out the risk estimate we provide.
Melco |
Melco Resorts Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Melco daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Melco's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Melco Resorts volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Melco Resorts can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Melco Resorts at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Melco Resorts' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Melco Stock
| 0.51 | M1UF34 | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | A1LL34 | Bread Financial Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | S1MF34 | Sumitomo Mitsui Financial | PairCorr |
Melco Resorts Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Melco Resorts' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Melco stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Melco stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Melco Resorts's beta of -0.18 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Melco Resorts stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Melco Resorts Entertainment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.63 and kurtosis of 7.38. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Melco Resorts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Melco Resorts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Melco Resorts Entert Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Melco Resorts correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Melco Beta |
Melco standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.74 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Melco Resorts's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Melco Resorts' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in melco stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Melco Resorts.
Melco Resorts Entert Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Melco Resorts stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Melco Resorts' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Melco Resorts' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Melco Resorts' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Melco Resorts' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Melco Resorts' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Melco Resorts' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Melco Resorts' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Melco Resorts Entert Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Melco Resorts Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Melco Resorts Entertainment has a beta of -0.1849 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Melco Resorts are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Melco Resorts Entertainment is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Melco Resorts or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Melco Resorts' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Melco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Melco Resorts Entertainment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Melco Resorts Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Melco Resorts Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Melco Resorts is -814.26. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 7.5 and standard deviation of 2.74. The mean deviation of Melco Resorts Entertainment is currently at 1.4. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Melco Resorts Stock Return Volatility
Melco Resorts historical daily return volatility represents how much of Melco Resorts stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 2.7381% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8098% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Melco Resorts Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Melco Resorts or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Melco Resorts may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Melco's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Melco Resorts and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Melco Resorts fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Melco Resorts' volatility to invest better
Higher Melco Resorts' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Melco Resorts Entert stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Melco Resorts Entert stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Melco Resorts Entert investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Melco Resorts' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Melco Resorts' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Melco Resorts Investment Opportunity
Melco Resorts Entertainment has a volatility of 2.74 and is 3.38 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 24 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Melco Resorts. You can use Melco Resorts Entertainment to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Melco Resorts to be traded at R$17.54 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Melco Resorts Entertainment and DJI is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Melco Resorts Entertainment and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Melco Resorts Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Melco Resorts' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Melco Resorts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Melco Resorts stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.88 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (814.26) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Variance | 7.5 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Melco Resorts Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Melco Resorts as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Melco Resorts' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Melco Resorts' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Melco Resorts Entertainment.
Complementary Tools for Melco Stock analysis
When running Melco Resorts' price analysis, check to measure Melco Resorts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Melco Resorts is operating at the current time. Most of Melco Resorts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Melco Resorts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Melco Resorts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Melco Resorts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities |