Koza Anadolu (Turkey) Market Value

KOZAA Stock  TRY 66.85  1.95  2.83%   
Koza Anadolu's market value is the price at which a share of Koza Anadolu trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Koza Anadolu Metal investors about its performance. Koza Anadolu is trading at 66.85 as of the 2nd of March 2025. This is a 2.83 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 68.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Koza Anadolu Metal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Koza Anadolu over a given investment horizon. Check out Koza Anadolu Correlation, Koza Anadolu Volatility and Koza Anadolu Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Koza Anadolu.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Koza Anadolu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koza Anadolu is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koza Anadolu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Koza Anadolu 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Koza Anadolu's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Koza Anadolu.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Koza Anadolu on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Koza Anadolu Metal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Koza Anadolu over 30 days. Koza Anadolu is related to or competes with Koza Altin, Ipek Dogal, Petkim Petrokimya, Kardemir Karabuk, and Tekfen Holding. Koza Anadolu Metal Madencilik Isletmeleri A.S More

Koza Anadolu Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Koza Anadolu's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Koza Anadolu Metal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Koza Anadolu Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Koza Anadolu's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Koza Anadolu's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Koza Anadolu historical prices to predict the future Koza Anadolu's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.5366.8569.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.8560.1673.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.3562.6764.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.1971.7878.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koza Anadolu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koza Anadolu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koza Anadolu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Koza Anadolu Metal.

Koza Anadolu Metal Backtested Returns

Koza Anadolu Metal has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0237, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0237 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Koza Anadolu exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Koza Anadolu's Standard Deviation of 2.33, mean deviation of 1.77, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0037 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.66, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Koza Anadolu's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Koza Anadolu is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Koza Anadolu Metal has a negative expected return of -0.0551%. Please make sure to verify Koza Anadolu's accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the day median price and price action indicator , to decide if Koza Anadolu Metal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.93  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Koza Anadolu Metal has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Koza Anadolu time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Koza Anadolu Metal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current Koza Anadolu price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.93
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance14.67

Koza Anadolu Metal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Koza Anadolu stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Koza Anadolu's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Koza Anadolu returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Koza Anadolu has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Koza Anadolu regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Koza Anadolu stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Koza Anadolu stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Koza Anadolu stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Koza Anadolu Lagged Returns

When evaluating Koza Anadolu's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Koza Anadolu stock have on its future price. Koza Anadolu autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Koza Anadolu autocorrelation shows the relationship between Koza Anadolu stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Koza Anadolu Metal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Koza Stock

Koza Anadolu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Koza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Koza with respect to the benefits of owning Koza Anadolu security.