Kraft Heinz (Brazil) Market Value

KHCB34 Stock  BRL 47.00  0.50  1.08%   
Kraft Heinz's market value is the price at which a share of Kraft Heinz trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Kraft Heinz investors about its performance. Kraft Heinz is trading at 47.00 as of the 26th of December 2024, a 1.08% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 46.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Kraft Heinz and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kraft Heinz over a given investment horizon. Check out Kraft Heinz Correlation, Kraft Heinz Volatility and Kraft Heinz Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kraft Heinz.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kraft Heinz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kraft Heinz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kraft Heinz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kraft Heinz 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kraft Heinz's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kraft Heinz.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kraft Heinz on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Kraft Heinz or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kraft Heinz over 30 days. Kraft Heinz is related to or competes with K1EL34, JBS SA, M Dias, Beyond Meat, Marfrig Global, and Jalles Machado. The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Mi... More

Kraft Heinz Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kraft Heinz's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Kraft Heinz upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kraft Heinz Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kraft Heinz's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kraft Heinz's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kraft Heinz historical prices to predict the future Kraft Heinz's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.2447.0048.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9239.6851.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.5244.2846.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.5547.3453.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kraft Heinz. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kraft Heinz's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kraft Heinz's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kraft Heinz.

Kraft Heinz Backtested Returns

Kraft Heinz has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0011, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0011% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kraft Heinz exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kraft Heinz's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0142, risk adjusted performance of 0.0091, and Downside Deviation of 1.88 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.48, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Kraft Heinz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Kraft Heinz is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Kraft Heinz has a negative expected return of -0.0019%. Please make sure to verify Kraft Heinz's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Kraft Heinz performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

The Kraft Heinz has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kraft Heinz time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kraft Heinz price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Kraft Heinz price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.25

Kraft Heinz lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kraft Heinz stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kraft Heinz's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kraft Heinz returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kraft Heinz has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kraft Heinz regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kraft Heinz stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kraft Heinz stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kraft Heinz stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kraft Heinz Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kraft Heinz's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kraft Heinz stock have on its future price. Kraft Heinz autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kraft Heinz autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kraft Heinz stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Kraft Heinz.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kraft Stock

Kraft Heinz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kraft Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kraft with respect to the benefits of owning Kraft Heinz security.