Impala Platinum's market value is the price at which a share of Impala Platinum trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Impala Platinum Holdings investors about its performance. Impala Platinum is trading at 4.55 as of the 2nd of January 2025. This is a 1.3 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.55. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Impala Platinum Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Impala Platinum over a given investment horizon. Check out Impala Platinum Correlation, Impala Platinum Volatility and Impala Platinum Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Impala Platinum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Impala Platinum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Impala Platinum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Impala Platinum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Impala Platinum 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Impala Platinum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Impala Platinum.
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07/06/2024
No Change 0.00
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In 5 months and 30 days
01/02/2025
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If you would invest 0.00 in Impala Platinum on July 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Impala Platinum Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Impala Platinum over 180 days. Impala Platinum is related to or competes with China Resources, Transport International, Columbia Sportswear, JD SPORTS, BOSTON BEER, National Beverage, and Monster Beverage. Impala Platinum Holdings Limited engages in mining, processing, refining, and marketing platinum and associated platinum... More
Impala Platinum Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Impala Platinum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Impala Platinum Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Impala Platinum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Impala Platinum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Impala Platinum historical prices to predict the future Impala Platinum's volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Impala Platinum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Impala Platinum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Impala Platinum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Impala Platinum Holdings.
Impala Platinum Holdings Backtested Returns
Impala Platinum Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0623, which attests that the entity had a -0.0623% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Impala Platinum Holdings exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Impala Platinum's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.47, standard deviation of 3.89, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0607, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Impala Platinum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Impala Platinum is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Impala Platinum Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to check out Impala Platinum's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Impala Platinum Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation
-0.47
Modest reverse predictability
Impala Platinum Holdings has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Impala Platinum time series from 6th of July 2024 to 4th of October 2024 and 4th of October 2024 to 2nd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Impala Platinum Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Impala Platinum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.47
Spearman Rank Test
0.19
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.21
Impala Platinum Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Impala Platinum stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Impala Platinum's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Impala Platinum returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Impala Platinum has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Impala Platinum regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Impala Platinum stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Impala Platinum stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Impala Platinum stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Impala Platinum Lagged Returns
When evaluating Impala Platinum's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Impala Platinum stock have on its future price. Impala Platinum autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Impala Platinum autocorrelation shows the relationship between Impala Platinum stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Impala Platinum Holdings.
Impala Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impala with respect to the benefits of owning Impala Platinum security.