Triller Group Stock Market Value

ILLR Stock   2.37  0.12  5.33%   
Triller's market value is the price at which a share of Triller trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Triller Group investors about its performance. Triller is selling at 2.37 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 5.33% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Triller Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Triller over a given investment horizon. Check out Triller Correlation, Triller Volatility and Triller Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Triller.
Symbol

Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triller. If investors know Triller will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triller listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Triller Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triller that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triller's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triller's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triller's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triller's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triller's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triller is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triller's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Triller 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Triller's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Triller.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Triller on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Triller Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Triller over 60 days. Triller is related to or competes with Unity Software, Daily Journal, C3 Ai, A2Z Smart, Blackline, Dynatrace Holdings, and DoubleVerify Holdings. Triller is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More

Triller Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Triller's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Triller Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Triller Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Triller's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Triller's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Triller historical prices to predict the future Triller's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.3314.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.2814.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.0215.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-1.843.037.89
Details

Triller Group Backtested Returns

Triller Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0258, which indicates the firm had a -0.0258% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Triller Group exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Triller's Variance of 147.89, risk adjusted performance of 0.0053, and Coefficient Of Variation of (19,550) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 3.75, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Triller will likely underperform. At this point, Triller Group has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to validate Triller's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Triller Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Triller Group has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Triller time series from 27th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Triller Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Triller price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.25

Triller Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Triller stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Triller's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Triller returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Triller has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Triller regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Triller stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Triller stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Triller stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Triller Lagged Returns

When evaluating Triller's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Triller stock have on its future price. Triller autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Triller autocorrelation shows the relationship between Triller stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Triller Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Triller

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Triller position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triller will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Triller Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Triller could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Triller when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Triller - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Triller Group to buy it.
The correlation of Triller is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Triller moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Triller Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Triller can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Triller Stock Analysis

When running Triller's price analysis, check to measure Triller's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triller is operating at the current time. Most of Triller's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triller's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triller's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triller to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.