Essentra Plc (Germany) Market Value

HOF Stock  EUR 1.53  0.08  4.97%   
Essentra Plc's market value is the price at which a share of Essentra Plc trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Essentra plc investors about its performance. Essentra Plc is trading at 1.53 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 4.97 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Essentra plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Essentra Plc over a given investment horizon. Check out Essentra Plc Correlation, Essentra Plc Volatility and Essentra Plc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Essentra Plc.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Essentra Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Essentra Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Essentra Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Essentra Plc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Essentra Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Essentra Plc.
0.00
01/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Essentra Plc on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Essentra plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Essentra Plc over 720 days. Essentra Plc is related to or competes with Bridgestone, Advanced Drainage, Goodyear Tire, Sumitomo Rubber, Zeon, Nokian Renkaat, and Essentra Plc. Essentra plc manufactures and sells specialist plastic, fiber, foam, and packaging products worldwide More

Essentra Plc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Essentra Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Essentra plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Essentra Plc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Essentra Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Essentra Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Essentra Plc historical prices to predict the future Essentra Plc's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.533.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.623.30
Details

Essentra plc Backtested Returns

Essentra plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.092, which denotes the company had a -0.092% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Essentra plc exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Essentra Plc's Standard Deviation of 1.68, mean deviation of 1.29, and Variance of 2.82 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.36, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Essentra Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Essentra Plc is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Essentra plc has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to confirm Essentra Plc's maximum drawdown, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Essentra plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Essentra plc has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Essentra Plc time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Essentra plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Essentra Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Essentra plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Essentra Plc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Essentra Plc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Essentra Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Essentra Plc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Essentra Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Essentra Plc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Essentra Plc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Essentra Plc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Essentra Plc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Essentra Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Essentra Plc stock have on its future price. Essentra Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Essentra Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Essentra Plc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Essentra plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Essentra Stock

Essentra Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Essentra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Essentra with respect to the benefits of owning Essentra Plc security.