D R (Germany) Market Value
| HO2 Stock | 132.68 0.24 0.18% |
| Symbol | HO2 |
D R 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to D R's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of D R.
| 12/10/2024 |
| 01/09/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in D R on December 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding D R HORTON or generate 0.0% return on investment in D R over 30 days.
D R Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure D R's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess D R HORTON upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 |
D R Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for D R's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as D R's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use D R historical prices to predict the future D R's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.34) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.25 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of D R's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
D R HORTON Backtested Returns
D R HORTON secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which denotes the company had a -0.13% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. D R HORTON exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm D R's Standard Deviation of 2.63, market risk adjusted performance of 1.26, and Mean Deviation of 1.46 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning D R are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, D R is likely to outperform the market. At this point, D R HORTON has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to confirm D R's treynor ratio, daily balance of power, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if D R HORTON performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
D R HORTON has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between D R time series from 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024 and 25th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of D R HORTON price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current D R price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.84 |
D R HORTON lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is D R stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting D R's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of D R returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that D R has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
D R regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If D R stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if D R stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in D R stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
D R Lagged Returns
When evaluating D R's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of D R stock have on its future price. D R autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, D R autocorrelation shows the relationship between D R stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in D R HORTON.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for HO2 Stock Analysis
When running D R's price analysis, check to measure D R's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy D R is operating at the current time. Most of D R's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of D R's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move D R's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of D R to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.