Hindustan Foods (India) Market Value

HNDFDS Stock   534.65  3.80  0.71%   
Hindustan Foods' market value is the price at which a share of Hindustan Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hindustan Foods Limited investors about its performance. Hindustan Foods is trading at 534.65 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 0.71 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 538.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hindustan Foods Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hindustan Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out Hindustan Foods Correlation, Hindustan Foods Volatility and Hindustan Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hindustan Foods.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hindustan Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hindustan Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hindustan Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hindustan Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hindustan Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hindustan Foods.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hindustan Foods on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hindustan Foods Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hindustan Foods over 90 days. Hindustan Foods is related to or competes with JSW Steel, Vardhman Special, Mask Investments, Jindal Steel, Tata Steel, Tube Investments, and Nalwa Sons. Hindustan Foods is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Hindustan Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hindustan Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hindustan Foods Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hindustan Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hindustan Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hindustan Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hindustan Foods historical prices to predict the future Hindustan Foods' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hindustan Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
532.63535.10537.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
443.53446.00588.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
547.57550.04552.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
516.63532.02547.41
Details

Hindustan Foods Backtested Returns

Hindustan Foods holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0127, which attests that the entity had a -0.0127 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hindustan Foods exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hindustan Foods' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1644, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 2.44 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.5, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hindustan Foods are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hindustan Foods is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Hindustan Foods has a negative expected return of -0.0313%. Please make sure to check out Hindustan Foods' maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Hindustan Foods performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Hindustan Foods Limited has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hindustan Foods time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hindustan Foods price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Hindustan Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance311.03

Hindustan Foods lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hindustan Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hindustan Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hindustan Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hindustan Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hindustan Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hindustan Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hindustan Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hindustan Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hindustan Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hindustan Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hindustan Foods stock have on its future price. Hindustan Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hindustan Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hindustan Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hindustan Foods Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hindustan Stock

Hindustan Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hindustan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hindustan with respect to the benefits of owning Hindustan Foods security.