Government Street Equity Fund Market Value

GVEQX Fund  USD 128.92  2.00  1.58%   
Government Street's market value is the price at which a share of Government Street trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Government Street Equity investors about its performance. Government Street is trading at 128.92 as of the 5th of January 2025; that is 1.58 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 126.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Government Street Equity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Government Street over a given investment horizon. Check out Government Street Correlation, Government Street Volatility and Government Street Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Government Street.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Government Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Government Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Government Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Government Street 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Government Street's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Government Street.
0.00
01/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
01/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Government Street on January 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Government Street Equity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Government Street over 360 days. Government Street is related to or competes with Government Securities, Government High, Government Securities, Government Street, and Government Long. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks and shares of ETFs that invest primarily in comm... More

Government Street Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Government Street's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Government Street Equity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Government Street Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Government Street's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Government Street's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Government Street historical prices to predict the future Government Street's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.10128.92129.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
127.95128.77129.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
129.14129.96130.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
124.75128.79132.83
Details

Government Street Equity Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Government Mutual Fund to be very steady. Government Street Equity holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0785, which attests that the entity had a 0.0785% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Government Street Equity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Government Street's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2963, downside deviation of 0.8145, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0722 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0646%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.22, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Government Street's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Government Street is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Government Street Equity has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Government Street time series from 11th of January 2024 to 9th of July 2024 and 9th of July 2024 to 5th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Government Street Equity price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Government Street price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance29.21

Government Street Equity lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Government Street mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Government Street's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Government Street returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Government Street has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Government Street regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Government Street mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Government Street mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Government Street mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Government Street Lagged Returns

When evaluating Government Street's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Government Street mutual fund have on its future price. Government Street autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Government Street autocorrelation shows the relationship between Government Street mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Government Street Equity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Government Mutual Fund

Government Street financial ratios help investors to determine whether Government Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Government with respect to the benefits of owning Government Street security.
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