Gevo Inc Stock Market Value

GEVO Stock  USD 1.65  0.05  3.12%   
Gevo's market value is the price at which a share of Gevo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gevo Inc investors about its performance. Gevo is selling at 1.65 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 3.12 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gevo Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gevo over a given investment horizon. Check out Gevo Correlation, Gevo Volatility and Gevo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gevo.
Symbol

Gevo Inc Price To Book Ratio

Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gevo. If investors know Gevo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gevo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.33)
Revenue Per Share
0.065
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.57)
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.15)
The market value of Gevo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gevo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gevo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gevo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gevo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gevo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gevo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gevo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gevo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gevo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gevo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gevo.
0.00
01/07/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 10 months and 26 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gevo on January 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gevo Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gevo over 330 days. Gevo is related to or competes with REX American, Axalta Coating, Avantor, FutureFuel Corp, Sociedad Quimica, Albemarle Corp, and Linde Plc. It operates through four segments Gevo, Agri-Energy, Renewable Natural Gas, and Net-Zero More

Gevo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gevo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gevo Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gevo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gevo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gevo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gevo historical prices to predict the future Gevo's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gevo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.6511.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.8211.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.5111.91
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.641.802.00
Details

Gevo Inc Backtested Returns

Gevo is extremely dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Gevo Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.71% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Gevo Inc Downside Deviation of 7.84, market risk adjusted performance of (1.71), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1203 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Gevo holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.79, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gevo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gevo is likely to outperform the market. Use Gevo Inc potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Gevo Inc.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

Gevo Inc has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gevo time series from 7th of January 2024 to 20th of June 2024 and 20th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gevo Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Gevo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.54

Gevo Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gevo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gevo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gevo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gevo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gevo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gevo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gevo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gevo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gevo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gevo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gevo stock have on its future price. Gevo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gevo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gevo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gevo Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

When determining whether Gevo Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gevo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gevo Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gevo Inc Stock:
Check out Gevo Correlation, Gevo Volatility and Gevo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gevo.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Gevo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Gevo technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Gevo trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...