Fortescue Metals Group Stock Market Value

FSUMF Stock  USD 12.40  0.64  4.91%   
Fortescue Metals' market value is the price at which a share of Fortescue Metals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fortescue Metals Group investors about its performance. Fortescue Metals is trading at 12.40 as of the 14th of December 2024. This is a 4.91 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fortescue Metals Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fortescue Metals over a given investment horizon. Check out Fortescue Metals Correlation, Fortescue Metals Volatility and Fortescue Metals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fortescue Metals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortescue Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortescue Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortescue Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fortescue Metals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fortescue Metals' otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fortescue Metals.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fortescue Metals on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fortescue Metals Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fortescue Metals over 30 days. Fortescue Metals is related to or competes with IGO, Mineral Res, and Adriatic Metals. Fortescue Metals Group Limited engages in the exploration, development, production, processing, and sale of iron ore in ... More

Fortescue Metals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fortescue Metals' otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fortescue Metals Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fortescue Metals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fortescue Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fortescue Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fortescue Metals historical prices to predict the future Fortescue Metals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7712.4015.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0110.6413.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3312.9515.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4012.4113.43
Details

Fortescue Metals Backtested Returns

At this point, Fortescue Metals is not too volatile. Fortescue Metals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0477, which denotes the company had a 0.0477% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Fortescue Metals Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fortescue Metals' Downside Deviation of 3.76, coefficient of variation of 1384.78, and Mean Deviation of 1.97 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Fortescue Metals has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fortescue Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fortescue Metals is expected to be smaller as well. Fortescue Metals right now shows a risk of 2.63%. Please confirm Fortescue Metals semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Fortescue Metals will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.09  

Virtually no predictability

Fortescue Metals Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fortescue Metals time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fortescue Metals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Fortescue Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Fortescue Metals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fortescue Metals otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fortescue Metals' otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fortescue Metals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fortescue Metals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fortescue Metals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fortescue Metals otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fortescue Metals otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fortescue Metals otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fortescue Metals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fortescue Metals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fortescue Metals otc stock have on its future price. Fortescue Metals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fortescue Metals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fortescue Metals otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fortescue Metals Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fortescue OTC Stock

Fortescue Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortescue OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortescue with respect to the benefits of owning Fortescue Metals security.