Fast Retailing (Germany) Market Value
| FR7 Stock | EUR 281.40 0.40 0.14% |
| Symbol | Fast |
Fast Retailing 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fast Retailing's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fast Retailing.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fast Retailing on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fast Retailing Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fast Retailing over 90 days. Fast Retailing is related to or competes with Direct Line, Motorcar Parts, Grupo Carso, GRUPO CARSO-A1, Discover Financial, INTER CARS, and COMMERCIAL VEHICLE. More
Fast Retailing Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fast Retailing's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fast Retailing Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.35 |
Fast Retailing Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fast Retailing's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fast Retailing's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fast Retailing historical prices to predict the future Fast Retailing's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0074 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.99 |
Fast Retailing Backtested Returns
Fast Retailing secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which denotes the company had a -0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fast Retailing Co exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fast Retailing's Mean Deviation of 1.35, variance of 3.22, and Standard Deviation of 1.79 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fast Retailing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fast Retailing is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fast Retailing has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Fast Retailing's total risk alpha, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Fast Retailing performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.66 |
Good predictability
Fast Retailing Co has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fast Retailing time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fast Retailing price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Fast Retailing price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 65.92 |
Fast Retailing lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fast Retailing stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fast Retailing's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fast Retailing returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fast Retailing has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fast Retailing regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fast Retailing stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fast Retailing stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fast Retailing stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fast Retailing Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fast Retailing's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fast Retailing stock have on its future price. Fast Retailing autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fast Retailing autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fast Retailing stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fast Retailing Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Fast Stock
Fast Retailing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fast Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fast with respect to the benefits of owning Fast Retailing security.