Fidelity New Millennium Fund Market Value

FMILX Fund  USD 63.78  0.51  0.81%   
Fidelity New's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity New Millennium investors about its performance. Fidelity New is trading at 63.78 as of the 6th of December 2024; that is 0.81 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 63.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity New Millennium and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity New over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity New Correlation, Fidelity New Volatility and Fidelity New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity New.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity New's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity New.
0.00
11/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/06/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity New on November 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity New Millennium or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity New over 30 days. Fidelity New is related to or competes with Fidelity Focused, Fidelity Large, Computers Portfolio, Fidelity Trend, and Fidelity Growth. The fund normally invests in common stocks More

Fidelity New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity New's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity New Millennium upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity New historical prices to predict the future Fidelity New's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.0763.7864.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.4068.4969.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.2263.9364.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.8962.1164.34
Details

Fidelity New Millennium Backtested Returns

Fidelity New appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fidelity New Millennium secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.3, which denotes the fund had a 0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fidelity New Millennium, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Fidelity New's Coefficient Of Variation of 396.94, downside deviation of 0.7452, and Mean Deviation of 0.5242 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0457, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity New's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity New is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

Fidelity New Millennium has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity New time series from 6th of November 2024 to 21st of November 2024 and 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity New Millennium price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Fidelity New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Fidelity New Millennium lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity New mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity New's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity New mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity New mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity New mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity New Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity New mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity New mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity New Millennium.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity New security.
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