Future Metals (UK) Market Value

FME Stock   0.65  0.10  13.33%   
Future Metals' market value is the price at which a share of Future Metals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Future Metals NL investors about its performance. Future Metals is trading at 0.65 as of the 16th of March 2025, a 13.33% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Future Metals NL and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Future Metals over a given investment horizon. Check out Future Metals Correlation, Future Metals Volatility and Future Metals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Future Metals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Future Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Future Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Future Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Future Metals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Future Metals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Future Metals.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Future Metals on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Future Metals NL or generate 0.0% return on investment in Future Metals over 90 days. Future Metals is related to or competes with Check Point, Albion Technology, Sabien Technology, Kinnevik Investment, X-FAB Silicon, Bytes Technology, and International Biotechnology. Future Metals is entity of United Kingdom More

Future Metals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Future Metals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Future Metals NL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Future Metals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Future Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Future Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Future Metals historical prices to predict the future Future Metals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.665.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.564.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.574.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.540.670.80
Details

Future Metals NL Backtested Returns

Future Metals NL secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0462, which denotes the company had a -0.0462 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Future Metals NL exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Future Metals' Variance of 18.52, mean deviation of 1.61, and Standard Deviation of 4.3 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.62, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Future Metals will likely underperform. At this point, Future Metals NL has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Future Metals' daily balance of power, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Future Metals NL performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

Future Metals NL has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Future Metals time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Future Metals NL price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Future Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Future Metals NL lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Future Metals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Future Metals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Future Metals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Future Metals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Future Metals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Future Metals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Future Metals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Future Metals stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Future Metals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Future Metals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Future Metals stock have on its future price. Future Metals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Future Metals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Future Metals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Future Metals NL.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Future Stock

Future Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Future Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Future with respect to the benefits of owning Future Metals security.