FORTEC ELEKTRONIK (Germany) Market Value
| FEV Stock | EUR 19.40 0.10 0.51% |
| Symbol | FORTEC |
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FORTEC ELEKTRONIK.
| 12/09/2024 |
| 01/08/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in FORTEC ELEKTRONIK on December 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FORTEC ELEKTRONIK or generate 0.0% return on investment in FORTEC ELEKTRONIK over 30 days. FORTEC ELEKTRONIK is related to or competes with FONIX MOBILE, Kingdee International, Uber Technologies, AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR, FIH MOBILE, and Iridium Communications. More
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FORTEC ELEKTRONIK upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0195 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.72 |
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FORTEC ELEKTRONIK historical prices to predict the future FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0335 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.05 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0127 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0201 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2044 |
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK Backtested Returns
As of now, FORTEC Stock is very steady. FORTEC ELEKTRONIK secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0368, which denotes the company had a 0.0368% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for FORTEC ELEKTRONIK, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2144, downside deviation of 1.83, and Mean Deviation of 1.41 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0721%. FORTEC ELEKTRONIK has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FORTEC ELEKTRONIK is expected to be smaller as well. FORTEC ELEKTRONIK currently shows a risk of 1.96%. Please confirm FORTEC ELEKTRONIK potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if FORTEC ELEKTRONIK will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FORTEC ELEKTRONIK time series from 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024 and 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FORTEC ELEKTRONIK price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current FORTEC ELEKTRONIK price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.27 |
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is FORTEC ELEKTRONIK stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FORTEC ELEKTRONIK returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FORTEC ELEKTRONIK has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FORTEC ELEKTRONIK stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FORTEC ELEKTRONIK stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FORTEC ELEKTRONIK stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
FORTEC ELEKTRONIK Lagged Returns
When evaluating FORTEC ELEKTRONIK's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FORTEC ELEKTRONIK stock have on its future price. FORTEC ELEKTRONIK autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FORTEC ELEKTRONIK autocorrelation shows the relationship between FORTEC ELEKTRONIK stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FORTEC ELEKTRONIK.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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FORTEC ELEKTRONIK financial ratios help investors to determine whether FORTEC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FORTEC with respect to the benefits of owning FORTEC ELEKTRONIK security.