ETFS Physical (Australia) Market Value

ETPMAG Etf   43.69  0.72  1.68%   
ETFS Physical's market value is the price at which a share of ETFS Physical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ETFS Physical Silver investors about its performance. ETFS Physical is trading at 43.69 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 1.68 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 42.97.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ETFS Physical Silver and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ETFS Physical over a given investment horizon. Check out ETFS Physical Correlation, ETFS Physical Volatility and ETFS Physical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ETFS Physical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ETFS Physical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ETFS Physical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ETFS Physical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ETFS Physical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ETFS Physical's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ETFS Physical.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ETFS Physical on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ETFS Physical Silver or generate 0.0% return on investment in ETFS Physical over 720 days. ETFS Physical is related to or competes with Betashares Asia, BetaShares Australia, Australian High, and Vanguard Australian. ETFS Physical is entity of Australia. It is traded as Etf on AU exchange. More

ETFS Physical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ETFS Physical's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ETFS Physical Silver upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ETFS Physical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ETFS Physical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ETFS Physical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ETFS Physical historical prices to predict the future ETFS Physical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.8543.6845.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3240.1548.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.1345.9647.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.3944.0545.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ETFS Physical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ETFS Physical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ETFS Physical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ETFS Physical Silver.

ETFS Physical Silver Backtested Returns

ETFS Physical appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ETFS Physical Silver secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the etf had a 0.11% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for ETFS Physical Silver, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize ETFS Physical's downside deviation of 1.68, and Mean Deviation of 1.42 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.29, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ETFS Physical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ETFS Physical is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

ETFS Physical Silver has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ETFS Physical time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ETFS Physical Silver price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current ETFS Physical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance20.49

ETFS Physical Silver lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ETFS Physical etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ETFS Physical's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ETFS Physical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ETFS Physical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ETFS Physical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ETFS Physical etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ETFS Physical etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ETFS Physical etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ETFS Physical Lagged Returns

When evaluating ETFS Physical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ETFS Physical etf have on its future price. ETFS Physical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ETFS Physical autocorrelation shows the relationship between ETFS Physical etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ETFS Physical Silver.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in ETFS Etf

ETFS Physical financial ratios help investors to determine whether ETFS Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ETFS with respect to the benefits of owning ETFS Physical security.