E Media (South Africa) Market Value

EMH Stock   352.00  21.00  6.34%   
E Media's market value is the price at which a share of E Media trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of E Media Holdings investors about its performance. E Media is trading at 352.00 as of the 2nd of March 2025, a 6.34 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 352.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of E Media Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in E Media over a given investment horizon. Check out E Media Correlation, E Media Volatility and E Media Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on E Media.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between E Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if E Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, E Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

E Media 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to E Media's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of E Media.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in E Media on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding E Media Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in E Media over 30 days. E Media is related to or competes with Brimstone Investment, Capitec Bank, Reinet Investments, Safari Investments, and Frontier Transport. More

E Media Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure E Media's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess E Media Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

E Media Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for E Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as E Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use E Media historical prices to predict the future E Media's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
348.89352.00355.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
287.32290.43387.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
348.42351.53354.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
306.77333.00359.23
Details

E Media Holdings Backtested Returns

At this point, E Media is very steady. E Media Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0287, which denotes the company had a 0.0287 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for E Media Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm E Media's Downside Deviation of 5.35, semi deviation of 2.0, and Mean Deviation of 1.25 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0892%. E Media has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, E Media's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding E Media is expected to be smaller as well. E Media Holdings today shows a risk of 3.11%. Please confirm E Media Holdings maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to decide if E Media Holdings will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

E Media Holdings has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between E Media time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of E Media Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current E Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance109.44

E Media Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is E Media stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting E Media's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of E Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that E Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

E Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If E Media stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if E Media stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in E Media stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

E Media Lagged Returns

When evaluating E Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of E Media stock have on its future price. E Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, E Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between E Media stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in E Media Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in EMH Stock

E Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMH with respect to the benefits of owning E Media security.