Ecolab (Germany) Market Value

ECJ Stock  EUR 233.20  4.40  1.92%   
Ecolab's market value is the price at which a share of Ecolab trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ecolab Inc investors about its performance. Ecolab is trading at 233.20 as of the 15th of March 2025. This is a 1.92 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 233.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ecolab Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ecolab over a given investment horizon. Check out Ecolab Correlation, Ecolab Volatility and Ecolab Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ecolab.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecolab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ecolab is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecolab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ecolab 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ecolab's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ecolab.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ecolab on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ecolab Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ecolab over 90 days. Ecolab is related to or competes with Retail Estates, Alaska Air, COSTCO WHOLESALE, Norwegian Air, NORWEGIAN AIR, LAir Liquide, and QLEANAIR. Ecolab Inc. provides water, hygiene, and energy technologies and services worldwide More

Ecolab Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ecolab's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ecolab Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ecolab Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ecolab's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ecolab's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ecolab historical prices to predict the future Ecolab's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
231.81233.20234.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
201.49202.88256.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
218.48219.86221.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
217.89239.43260.98
Details

Ecolab Inc Backtested Returns

Ecolab Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0121, which denotes the company had a -0.0121 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Ecolab Inc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ecolab's Variance of 1.78, mean deviation of 0.9819, and Standard Deviation of 1.33 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0741, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ecolab's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ecolab is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ecolab Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0168%. Please make sure to confirm Ecolab's information ratio, total risk alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Ecolab Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.18  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Ecolab Inc has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ecolab time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ecolab Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Ecolab price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance49.96

Ecolab Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ecolab stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ecolab's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ecolab returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ecolab has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ecolab regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ecolab stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ecolab stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ecolab stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ecolab Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ecolab's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ecolab stock have on its future price. Ecolab autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ecolab autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ecolab stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ecolab Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Ecolab Stock

When determining whether Ecolab Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ecolab's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ecolab's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ecolab Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ecolab Correlation, Ecolab Volatility and Ecolab Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ecolab.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Ecolab technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ecolab technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ecolab trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...