Direxion Monthly Nasdaq 100 Fund Market Value
| DXNLX Fund | USD 72.43 2.20 3.13% |
| Symbol | Direxion |
Direxion Monthly 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Direxion Monthly's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Direxion Monthly.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Direxion Monthly on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Direxion Monthly Nasdaq 100 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Direxion Monthly over 90 days. Direxion Monthly is related to or competes with T Rowe, Artisan International, Cardinal Small, Gmo Quality, Credit Suisse, Eic Value, and Boyd Watterson. The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of the index, exchange... More
Direxion Monthly Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Direxion Monthly's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Direxion Monthly Nasdaq 100 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 |
Direxion Monthly Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Direxion Monthly's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Direxion Monthly's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Direxion Monthly historical prices to predict the future Direxion Monthly's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0734 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.20) |
Direxion Monthly Nasdaq Backtested Returns
Direxion Monthly Nasdaq secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which denotes the fund had a -0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Direxion Monthly Nasdaq 100 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Direxion Monthly's Standard Deviation of 1.7, mean deviation of 1.32, and Variance of 2.89 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.07, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Direxion Monthly returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Direxion Monthly is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.14 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Direxion Monthly Nasdaq 100 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Direxion Monthly time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Direxion Monthly Nasdaq price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Direxion Monthly price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.14 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 13.34 |
Direxion Monthly Nasdaq lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Direxion Monthly mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Direxion Monthly's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Direxion Monthly returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Direxion Monthly has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Direxion Monthly regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Direxion Monthly mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Direxion Monthly mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Direxion Monthly mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Direxion Monthly Lagged Returns
When evaluating Direxion Monthly's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Direxion Monthly mutual fund have on its future price. Direxion Monthly autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Direxion Monthly autocorrelation shows the relationship between Direxion Monthly mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Direxion Monthly Nasdaq 100.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Direxion Mutual Fund
Direxion Monthly financial ratios help investors to determine whether Direxion Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Direxion with respect to the benefits of owning Direxion Monthly security.
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