DOLLAR TREE (Germany) Market Value
| DT3 Stock | EUR 69.20 1.66 2.46% |
| Symbol | DOLLAR |
DOLLAR TREE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DOLLAR TREE's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DOLLAR TREE.
| 06/07/2024 |
| 12/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in DOLLAR TREE on June 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DOLLAR TREE or generate 0.0% return on investment in DOLLAR TREE over 180 days. DOLLAR TREE is related to or competes with Vastned Retail, Fast Retailing, Goodyear Tire, APPLIED MATERIALS, and Applied Materials. More
DOLLAR TREE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DOLLAR TREE's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DOLLAR TREE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.87 |
DOLLAR TREE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DOLLAR TREE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DOLLAR TREE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DOLLAR TREE historical prices to predict the future DOLLAR TREE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.61) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1197 |
DOLLAR TREE Backtested Returns
DOLLAR TREE appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. DOLLAR TREE secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for DOLLAR TREE, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize DOLLAR TREE's Coefficient Of Variation of (6,907), standard deviation of 4.0, and Mean Deviation of 2.35 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, DOLLAR TREE holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.57, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning DOLLAR TREE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, DOLLAR TREE is likely to outperform the market. Please check DOLLAR TREE's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether DOLLAR TREE's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
DOLLAR TREE has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DOLLAR TREE time series from 7th of June 2024 to 5th of September 2024 and 5th of September 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DOLLAR TREE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current DOLLAR TREE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.21 |
DOLLAR TREE lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is DOLLAR TREE stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DOLLAR TREE's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DOLLAR TREE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DOLLAR TREE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
DOLLAR TREE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DOLLAR TREE stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DOLLAR TREE stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DOLLAR TREE stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
DOLLAR TREE Lagged Returns
When evaluating DOLLAR TREE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DOLLAR TREE stock have on its future price. DOLLAR TREE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DOLLAR TREE autocorrelation shows the relationship between DOLLAR TREE stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DOLLAR TREE.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in DOLLAR Stock
When determining whether DOLLAR TREE is a strong investment it is important to analyze DOLLAR TREE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact DOLLAR TREE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding DOLLAR Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out DOLLAR TREE Correlation, DOLLAR TREE Volatility and DOLLAR TREE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DOLLAR TREE. For information on how to trade DOLLAR Stock refer to our How to Trade DOLLAR Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
DOLLAR TREE technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.