Direct Line (Germany) Market Value

D1LN Stock  EUR 3.27  0.03  0.91%   
Direct Line's market value is the price at which a share of Direct Line trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Direct Line Insurance investors about its performance. Direct Line is trading at 3.27 as of the 16th of March 2025. This is a 0.91 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Direct Line Insurance and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Direct Line over a given investment horizon. Check out Direct Line Correlation, Direct Line Volatility and Direct Line Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Direct Line.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Direct Line's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direct Line is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direct Line's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Direct Line 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Direct Line's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Direct Line.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Direct Line on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Direct Line Insurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in Direct Line over 90 days. Direct Line is related to or competes with Goodyear Tire, Hyster Yale, Mitsubishi Materials, IBU-tec Advanced, Sumitomo Rubber, Chesapeake Utilities, and EAGLE MATERIALS. Direct Line Insurance Group plc provides general insurance products and services in the United Kingdom More

Direct Line Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Direct Line's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Direct Line Insurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Direct Line Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Direct Line's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Direct Line's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Direct Line historical prices to predict the future Direct Line's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.103.274.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.613.784.95
Details

Direct Line Insurance Backtested Returns

At this point, Direct Line is somewhat reliable. Direct Line Insurance secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which denotes the company had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Direct Line Insurance, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Direct Line's Mean Deviation of 0.8254, downside deviation of 1.04, and Coefficient Of Variation of 816.43 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Direct Line has a performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Direct Line's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Direct Line is expected to be smaller as well. Direct Line Insurance right now shows a risk of 1.16%. Please confirm Direct Line Insurance sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Direct Line Insurance will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Direct Line Insurance has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Direct Line time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Direct Line Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Direct Line price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Direct Line Insurance lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Direct Line stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Direct Line's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Direct Line returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Direct Line has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Direct Line regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Direct Line stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Direct Line stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Direct Line stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Direct Line Lagged Returns

When evaluating Direct Line's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Direct Line stock have on its future price. Direct Line autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Direct Line autocorrelation shows the relationship between Direct Line stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Direct Line Insurance.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Direct Stock

Direct Line financial ratios help investors to determine whether Direct Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Direct with respect to the benefits of owning Direct Line security.