Computer Direct (Israel) Market Value

CMDR Stock  ILS 39,190  1,380  3.65%   
Computer Direct's market value is the price at which a share of Computer Direct trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Computer Direct investors about its performance. Computer Direct is trading at 39190.00 as of the 16th of March 2025, a 3.65 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 37810.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Computer Direct and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Computer Direct over a given investment horizon. Check out Computer Direct Correlation, Computer Direct Volatility and Computer Direct Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Computer Direct.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Computer Direct's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Computer Direct is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Computer Direct's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Computer Direct 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Computer Direct's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Computer Direct.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Computer Direct on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Computer Direct or generate 0.0% return on investment in Computer Direct over 90 days. Computer Direct is related to or competes with Matrix, Hilan, One Software, Atreyu Capital, and Tedea Technological. Computer Direct Group Ltd. engages in the computing and software sector in Israel and internationally More

Computer Direct Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Computer Direct's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Computer Direct upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Computer Direct Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Computer Direct's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Computer Direct's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Computer Direct historical prices to predict the future Computer Direct's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39,18839,19039,192
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38,56538,56843,109
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36,73636,73836,740
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34,77337,93441,095
Details

Computer Direct Backtested Returns

At this point, Computer Direct is very steady. Computer Direct secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0266, which signifies that the company had a 0.0266 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Computer Direct, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Computer Direct's Downside Deviation of 1.97, risk adjusted performance of 0.1141, and Mean Deviation of 1.68 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0603%. Computer Direct has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Computer Direct are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Computer Direct is likely to outperform the market. Computer Direct right now shows a risk of 2.27%. Please confirm Computer Direct jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Computer Direct will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Computer Direct has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Computer Direct time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Computer Direct price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Computer Direct price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price VarianceM

Computer Direct lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Computer Direct stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Computer Direct's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Computer Direct returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Computer Direct has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Computer Direct regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Computer Direct stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Computer Direct stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Computer Direct stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Computer Direct Lagged Returns

When evaluating Computer Direct's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Computer Direct stock have on its future price. Computer Direct autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Computer Direct autocorrelation shows the relationship between Computer Direct stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Computer Direct.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Computer Stock

Computer Direct financial ratios help investors to determine whether Computer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Computer with respect to the benefits of owning Computer Direct security.