CEYLON HOSPITALS (Sri Lanka) Market Value

CHLX0000  LKR 101.75  1.75  1.75%   
CEYLON HOSPITALS's market value is the price at which a share of CEYLON HOSPITALS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC investors about its performance. CEYLON HOSPITALS is trading at 101.75 as of the 25th of January 2025, a 1.75 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 100.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CEYLON HOSPITALS over a given investment horizon. Check out CEYLON HOSPITALS Correlation, CEYLON HOSPITALS Volatility and CEYLON HOSPITALS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CEYLON HOSPITALS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CEYLON HOSPITALS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CEYLON HOSPITALS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CEYLON HOSPITALS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CEYLON HOSPITALS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CEYLON HOSPITALS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CEYLON HOSPITALS.
0.00
12/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/25/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CEYLON HOSPITALS on December 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in CEYLON HOSPITALS over 30 days. More

CEYLON HOSPITALS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CEYLON HOSPITALS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CEYLON HOSPITALS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CEYLON HOSPITALS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CEYLON HOSPITALS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CEYLON HOSPITALS historical prices to predict the future CEYLON HOSPITALS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.00101.75103.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.8582.60111.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.8598.60100.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.77100.46104.14
Details

CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC Backtested Returns

CEYLON HOSPITALS appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of CEYLON HOSPITALS's risk adjusted performance of 0.0891, and Mean Deviation of 1.05 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CEYLON HOSPITALS holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.49, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CEYLON HOSPITALS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CEYLON HOSPITALS is likely to outperform the market. Please check CEYLON HOSPITALS's treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether CEYLON HOSPITALS's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CEYLON HOSPITALS time series from 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025 and 10th of January 2025 to 25th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current CEYLON HOSPITALS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.51

CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CEYLON HOSPITALS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CEYLON HOSPITALS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CEYLON HOSPITALS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CEYLON HOSPITALS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CEYLON HOSPITALS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CEYLON HOSPITALS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CEYLON HOSPITALS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CEYLON HOSPITALS stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CEYLON HOSPITALS Lagged Returns

When evaluating CEYLON HOSPITALS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CEYLON HOSPITALS stock have on its future price. CEYLON HOSPITALS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CEYLON HOSPITALS autocorrelation shows the relationship between CEYLON HOSPITALS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CEYLON HOSPITALS PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CEYLON Stock

CEYLON HOSPITALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether CEYLON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CEYLON with respect to the benefits of owning CEYLON HOSPITALS security.