Catalyst Hedged Modity Fund Market Value

CFHIX Fund  USD 8.90  0.03  0.34%   
Catalyst Hedged's market value is the price at which a share of Catalyst Hedged trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Catalyst Hedged Modity investors about its performance. Catalyst Hedged is trading at 8.90 as of the 28th of December 2024; that is 0.34 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Catalyst Hedged Modity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Catalyst Hedged over a given investment horizon. Check out Catalyst Hedged Correlation, Catalyst Hedged Volatility and Catalyst Hedged Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Catalyst Hedged.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Catalyst Hedged's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Catalyst Hedged is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Catalyst Hedged's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Catalyst Hedged 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Catalyst Hedged's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Catalyst Hedged.
0.00
11/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Catalyst Hedged on November 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Catalyst Hedged Modity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Catalyst Hedged over 30 days. Catalyst Hedged is related to or competes with Pace High, Touchstone Premium, Ishares Municipal, California Bond, Versatile Bond, Morningstar Defensive, and Multisector Bond. The investment seeks long-term capital appreciation largely independent from global equity markets More

Catalyst Hedged Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Catalyst Hedged's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Catalyst Hedged Modity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Catalyst Hedged Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Catalyst Hedged's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Catalyst Hedged's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Catalyst Hedged historical prices to predict the future Catalyst Hedged's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.998.909.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.019.8410.75
Details

Catalyst Hedged Modity Backtested Returns

Catalyst Hedged Modity secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.17, which signifies that the fund had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Catalyst Hedged Modity exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Catalyst Hedged's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), mean deviation of 0.6256, and Standard Deviation of 0.9009 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Catalyst Hedged's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Catalyst Hedged is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.42  

Average predictability

Catalyst Hedged Modity has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Catalyst Hedged time series from 28th of November 2024 to 13th of December 2024 and 13th of December 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Catalyst Hedged Modity price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Catalyst Hedged price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Catalyst Hedged Modity lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Catalyst Hedged mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Catalyst Hedged's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Catalyst Hedged returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Catalyst Hedged has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Catalyst Hedged regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Catalyst Hedged mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Catalyst Hedged mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Catalyst Hedged mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Catalyst Hedged Lagged Returns

When evaluating Catalyst Hedged's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Catalyst Hedged mutual fund have on its future price. Catalyst Hedged autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Catalyst Hedged autocorrelation shows the relationship between Catalyst Hedged mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Catalyst Hedged Modity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Catalyst Mutual Fund

Catalyst Hedged financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst Hedged security.
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