Catalyst Hedged Modity Fund Price Prediction

CFHIX Fund  USD 8.90  0.03  0.34%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Catalyst Hedged's share price is below 30 at this time suggesting that the mutual fund is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Catalyst Hedged Modity, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

28

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Catalyst Hedged's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Catalyst Hedged Modity, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Catalyst Hedged hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Catalyst Hedged Modity from the perspective of Catalyst Hedged response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Catalyst Hedged to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Catalyst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Catalyst Hedged after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Catalyst Hedged Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.019.8410.75
Details

Catalyst Hedged After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Catalyst Hedged at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Catalyst Hedged or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Catalyst Hedged, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Catalyst Hedged Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Catalyst Hedged's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Catalyst Hedged's historical news coverage. Catalyst Hedged's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.99 and 9.81, respectively. We have considered Catalyst Hedged's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.90
8.90
After-hype Price
9.81
Upside
Catalyst Hedged is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Catalyst Hedged Modity is based on 3 months time horizon.

Catalyst Hedged Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Catalyst Hedged is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Catalyst Hedged backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Catalyst Hedged, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
0.91
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.90
8.90
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Catalyst Hedged Hype Timeline

Catalyst Hedged Modity is currently traded for 8.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Catalyst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Catalyst Hedged is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.90. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Catalyst Hedged Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Catalyst Hedged Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Catalyst Hedged's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Catalyst Hedged's future price movements. Getting to know how Catalyst Hedged's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Catalyst Hedged may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HIICXCatalystsmh High Income 0.00 0 per month 0.17 (0.1) 0.27 (0.27) 1.34 
HIIFXCatalystsmh High Income 0.00 0 per month 0.19 (0.09) 0.53 (0.53) 1.08 
HIIIXCatalystsmh High Income 0.00 0 per month 0.11 (0.05) 0.27 (0.27) 1.34 
MLXCXCatalyst Mlp Infrastructure 0.00 0 per month 1.12  0.11  1.92 (2.04) 6.54 
MLXAXCatalyst Mlp Infrastructure 0.00 0 per month 1.11  0.11  1.95 (2.04) 6.49 
MLXIXCatalyst Mlp Infrastructure 0.00 0 per month 1.11  0.11  1.94 (2.03) 6.53 
CWXIXCatalystwarrington Strategic Program 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.11 (0.11) 3.06 
CWXCXCatalystwarrington Strategic Program 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.12 (0.12) 2.44 
CWXAXCatalystwarrington Strategic Program 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.11 (0.11) 2.92 

Catalyst Hedged Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Catalyst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Catalyst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Catalyst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Catalyst Hedged Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Catalyst Hedged stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Catalyst Hedged Modity, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Catalyst Hedged based on analysis of Catalyst Hedged hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Catalyst Hedged's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Catalyst Hedged's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Catalyst Hedged

The number of cover stories for Catalyst Hedged depends on current market conditions and Catalyst Hedged's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Catalyst Hedged is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Catalyst Hedged's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Catalyst Mutual Fund

Catalyst Hedged financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst Hedged security.
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