Casa Grande (Peru) Market Value

CASAGRC1   12.00  0.10  0.83%   
Casa Grande's market value is the price at which a share of Casa Grande trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Casa Grande SAA investors about its performance. Casa Grande is trading at 12.00 as of the 10th of January 2025, a 0.83% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Casa Grande SAA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Casa Grande over a given investment horizon. Check out Casa Grande Correlation, Casa Grande Volatility and Casa Grande Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Casa Grande.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Casa Grande's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Casa Grande is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Casa Grande's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Casa Grande 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Casa Grande's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Casa Grande.
0.00
12/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Casa Grande on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Casa Grande SAA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Casa Grande over 30 days. More

Casa Grande Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Casa Grande's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Casa Grande SAA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Casa Grande Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Casa Grande's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Casa Grande's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Casa Grande historical prices to predict the future Casa Grande's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7512.0013.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4411.6912.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8312.0813.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8212.0012.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Casa Grande. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Casa Grande's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Casa Grande's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Casa Grande SAA.

Casa Grande SAA Backtested Returns

At this point, Casa Grande is very steady. Casa Grande SAA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0299, which signifies that the company had a 0.0299% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Casa Grande SAA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Casa Grande's Mean Deviation of 0.9142, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Standard Deviation of 1.82 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0346%. Casa Grande has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Casa Grande's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Casa Grande is expected to be smaller as well. Casa Grande SAA right now shows a risk of 1.16%. Please confirm Casa Grande SAA accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Casa Grande SAA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Casa Grande SAA has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Casa Grande time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Casa Grande SAA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Casa Grande price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Casa Grande SAA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Casa Grande stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Casa Grande's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Casa Grande returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Casa Grande has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Casa Grande regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Casa Grande stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Casa Grande stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Casa Grande stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Casa Grande Lagged Returns

When evaluating Casa Grande's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Casa Grande stock have on its future price. Casa Grande autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Casa Grande autocorrelation shows the relationship between Casa Grande stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Casa Grande SAA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Casa Stock

Casa Grande financial ratios help investors to determine whether Casa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Casa with respect to the benefits of owning Casa Grande security.