Northern Short Bond Fund Market Value

BSBAX Fund  USD 18.19  0.04  0.22%   
Northern Short's market value is the price at which a share of Northern Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northern Short Bond investors about its performance. Northern Short is trading at 18.19 as of the 23rd of December 2024; that is 0.22 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.23.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northern Short Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northern Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Northern Short Correlation, Northern Short Volatility and Northern Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northern Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Short.
0.00
04/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 7 months and 28 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northern Short on April 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Short Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Short over 240 days. Northern Short is related to or competes with Northern Bond, Northern E, Northern Arizona, Northern Emerging, Northern Fixed, Northern Income, and Northern International. The fund will invest, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in bonds and other fixed-income ... More

Northern Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Short Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northern Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Short historical prices to predict the future Northern Short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0818.1918.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9218.0320.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northern Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northern Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northern Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northern Short Bond.

Northern Short Bond Backtested Returns

Northern Short Bond has Sharpe Ratio of -0.17, which conveys that the entity had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Northern Short exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Northern Short's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), standard deviation of 0.114, and Mean Deviation of 0.0786 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0112, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northern Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.46  

Modest reverse predictability

Northern Short Bond has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Short time series from 27th of April 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Short Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Northern Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.46
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Northern Short Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northern Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northern Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northern Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northern Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Short mutual fund have on its future price. Northern Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Short Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Short security.
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