Believe SAS (France) Market Value

BLV Stock   14.38  0.02  0.14%   
Believe SAS's market value is the price at which a share of Believe SAS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Believe SAS investors about its performance. Believe SAS is trading at 14.38 as of the 15th of December 2024, a 0.14 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 14.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Believe SAS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Believe SAS over a given investment horizon. Check out Believe SAS Correlation, Believe SAS Volatility and Believe SAS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Believe SAS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Believe SAS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Believe SAS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Believe SAS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Believe SAS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Believe SAS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Believe SAS.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Believe SAS on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Believe SAS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Believe SAS over 30 days. Believe SAS is related to or competes with Neoen SA, Technip Energies, and Voltalia. More

Believe SAS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Believe SAS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Believe SAS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Believe SAS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Believe SAS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Believe SAS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Believe SAS historical prices to predict the future Believe SAS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9614.3815.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6912.1115.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5713.9915.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.8614.4214.97
Details

Believe SAS Backtested Returns

Believe SAS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0381, which signifies that the company had a -0.0381% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Believe SAS exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Believe SAS's Mean Deviation of 0.9023, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Standard Deviation of 1.42 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.49, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Believe SAS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Believe SAS is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Believe SAS has a negative expected return of -0.054%. Please make sure to confirm Believe SAS's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Believe SAS performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Believe SAS has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Believe SAS time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Believe SAS price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Believe SAS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Believe SAS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Believe SAS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Believe SAS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Believe SAS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Believe SAS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Believe SAS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Believe SAS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Believe SAS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Believe SAS stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Believe SAS Lagged Returns

When evaluating Believe SAS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Believe SAS stock have on its future price. Believe SAS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Believe SAS autocorrelation shows the relationship between Believe SAS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Believe SAS.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Believe Stock

Believe SAS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Believe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Believe with respect to the benefits of owning Believe SAS security.