Bg Foods Stock Market Value
| BGS Stock | USD 7.29 0.12 1.67% |
| Symbol | BGS |
BG Foods Price To Book Ratio
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BG Foods. If investors know BGS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BG Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share (3.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of BG Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BGS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BG Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BG Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BG Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BG Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BG Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BG Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BG Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
BG Foods 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BG Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BG Foods.
| 12/14/2024 |
| 03/14/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BG Foods on December 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BG Foods or generate 0.0% return on investment in BG Foods over 90 days. BG Foods is related to or competes with Campbell Soup, General Mills, Hormel Foods, Kellanova, Lamb Weston, ConAgra Foods, and JM Smucker. BG Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products... More
BG Foods Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BG Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BG Foods upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1131 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.36 |
BG Foods Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BG Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BG Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BG Foods historical prices to predict the future BG Foods' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0653 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2002 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.6998 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1379 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 6.55 |
BG Foods Backtested Returns
BG Foods retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BG Foods exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BG Foods' Standard Deviation of 2.99, market risk adjusted performance of 6.56, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1452.29 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0299, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BG Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BG Foods is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, BG Foods has a negative expected return of -0.0259%. Please make sure to confirm BG Foods' coefficient of variation, semi variance, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if BG Foods performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Auto-correlation | -0.44 |
Modest reverse predictability
BG Foods has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BG Foods time series from 14th of December 2024 to 28th of January 2025 and 28th of January 2025 to 14th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BG Foods price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current BG Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.18 |
BG Foods lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BG Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BG Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BG Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BG Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BG Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BG Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BG Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BG Foods stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BG Foods Lagged Returns
When evaluating BG Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BG Foods stock have on its future price. BG Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BG Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between BG Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BG Foods.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for BGS Stock Analysis
When running BG Foods' price analysis, check to measure BG Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Foods is operating at the current time. Most of BG Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.