Ameriserv Financial Stock Market Value
| ASRV Stock | USD 2.45 0.07 2.94% |
| Symbol | AmeriServ |
AmeriServ Financial Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AmeriServ Financial. If investors know AmeriServ will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AmeriServ Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.855 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share (0.17) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
The market value of AmeriServ Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AmeriServ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AmeriServ Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AmeriServ Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AmeriServ Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AmeriServ Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AmeriServ Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AmeriServ Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AmeriServ Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
AmeriServ Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AmeriServ Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AmeriServ Financial.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AmeriServ Financial on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AmeriServ Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in AmeriServ Financial over 90 days. AmeriServ Financial is related to or competes with 1ST SUMMIT, Potomac Bancshares, Apollo Bancorp, Century Financial, Farmers Bank, Affinity Bancshares, and First Financial. AmeriServ Financial, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for AmeriServ Financial Bank that provides various consum... More
AmeriServ Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AmeriServ Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AmeriServ Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.94 |
AmeriServ Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AmeriServ Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AmeriServ Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AmeriServ Financial historical prices to predict the future AmeriServ Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0239 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.37) |
AmeriServ Financial Backtested Returns
AmeriServ Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0946, which signifies that the company had a -0.0946 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. AmeriServ Financial exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AmeriServ Financial's mean deviation of 1.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.64, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AmeriServ Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AmeriServ Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AmeriServ Financial has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm AmeriServ Financial's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if AmeriServ Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.07 |
Very weak reverse predictability
AmeriServ Financial has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AmeriServ Financial time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AmeriServ Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current AmeriServ Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.07 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
AmeriServ Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is AmeriServ Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AmeriServ Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AmeriServ Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AmeriServ Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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AmeriServ Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AmeriServ Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AmeriServ Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AmeriServ Financial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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AmeriServ Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating AmeriServ Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AmeriServ Financial stock have on its future price. AmeriServ Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AmeriServ Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between AmeriServ Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AmeriServ Financial.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for AmeriServ Stock Analysis
When running AmeriServ Financial's price analysis, check to measure AmeriServ Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AmeriServ Financial is operating at the current time. Most of AmeriServ Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AmeriServ Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AmeriServ Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AmeriServ Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.