Ardent Health Partners, Stock Market Value
| ARDT Stock | 13.89 0.63 4.75% |
| Symbol | Ardent |
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardent Health. If investors know Ardent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ardent Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ardent Health Partners, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ardent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ardent Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ardent Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ardent Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ardent Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ardent Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ardent Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ardent Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ardent Health 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ardent Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ardent Health.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ardent Health on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ardent Health Partners, or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ardent Health over 90 days. Ardent Health is related to or competes with Tradeweb Markets, Nintendo, National Health, Boyd Gaming, Gamehost, Small Cap, and Galaxy Gaming. More
Ardent Health Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ardent Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ardent Health Partners, upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.32 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 |
Ardent Health Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardent Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ardent Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ardent Health historical prices to predict the future Ardent Health's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.168 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4485 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ardent Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ardent Health Partners, Backtested Returns
Ardent Health Partners, secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0717, which signifies that the company had a -0.0717 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ardent Health Partners, exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ardent Health's risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 2.45 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.55, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ardent Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ardent Health is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Ardent Health Partners, has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to confirm Ardent Health's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Ardent Health Partners, performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
Ardent Health Partners, has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ardent Health time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ardent Health Partners, price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Ardent Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.15 |
Ardent Health Partners, lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ardent Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ardent Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ardent Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ardent Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ardent Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ardent Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ardent Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ardent Health stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ardent Health Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ardent Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ardent Health stock have on its future price. Ardent Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ardent Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ardent Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ardent Health Partners,.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Tools for Ardent Stock Analysis
When running Ardent Health's price analysis, check to measure Ardent Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardent Health is operating at the current time. Most of Ardent Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardent Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardent Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardent Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.