Amtd Idea Group Stock Market Value

AMTD Stock  USD 1.12  0.04  3.70%   
AMTD IDEA's market value is the price at which a share of AMTD IDEA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMTD IDEA Group investors about its performance. AMTD IDEA is trading at 1.12 as of the 27th of March 2025, a 3.70% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMTD IDEA Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AMTD IDEA over a given investment horizon. Check out AMTD IDEA Correlation, AMTD IDEA Volatility and AMTD IDEA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AMTD IDEA.
Symbol

Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMTD IDEA. If investors know AMTD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMTD IDEA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AMTD IDEA Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMTD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMTD IDEA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMTD IDEA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMTD IDEA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMTD IDEA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMTD IDEA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMTD IDEA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMTD IDEA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMTD IDEA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMTD IDEA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMTD IDEA.
0.00
12/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/27/2025
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If you would invest  0.00  in AMTD IDEA on December 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMTD IDEA Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMTD IDEA over 90 days. AMTD IDEA is related to or competes with Franklin Resources, Janus Henderson, State Street, Northern Trust, Principal Financial, Affiliated Managers, and Invesco Plc. AMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, engages in investment banking activities in Hong Kong, Mainland China, t... More

AMTD IDEA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMTD IDEA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMTD IDEA Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AMTD IDEA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMTD IDEA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMTD IDEA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMTD IDEA historical prices to predict the future AMTD IDEA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMTD IDEA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.085.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.027.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.165.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.981.061.13
Details

AMTD IDEA Group Backtested Returns

At this point, AMTD IDEA is risky. AMTD IDEA Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0123, which signifies that the company had a 0.0123 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for AMTD IDEA Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AMTD IDEA's mean deviation of 2.81, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0213 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0499%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.28, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AMTD IDEA will likely underperform. AMTD IDEA Group currently shows a risk of 4.06%. Please confirm AMTD IDEA Group maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to decide if AMTD IDEA Group will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

AMTD IDEA Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMTD IDEA time series from 27th of December 2024 to 10th of February 2025 and 10th of February 2025 to 27th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMTD IDEA Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current AMTD IDEA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
AMTD ReturnsAMTD Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayAMTD ReturnsAMTD Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

AMTD IDEA Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AMTD IDEA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AMTD IDEA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AMTD IDEA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AMTD IDEA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24MarMar 10Mar 17Mar 24-10%-5%0%5%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
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AMTD IDEA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AMTD IDEA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AMTD IDEA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AMTD IDEA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24MarMar 10Mar 17Mar 241.021.041.061.081.101.121.14
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
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AMTD IDEA Lagged Returns

When evaluating AMTD IDEA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AMTD IDEA stock have on its future price. AMTD IDEA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AMTD IDEA autocorrelation shows the relationship between AMTD IDEA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMTD IDEA Group.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar1.001.051.101.151.20
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether AMTD IDEA Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze AMTD IDEA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AMTD IDEA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AMTD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AMTD IDEA Correlation, AMTD IDEA Volatility and AMTD IDEA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AMTD IDEA.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
AMTD IDEA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of AMTD IDEA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of AMTD IDEA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...