Aeris Indstria (Brazil) Market Value

AERI3 Stock  BRL 4.25  0.07  1.62%   
Aeris Indstria's market value is the price at which a share of Aeris Indstria trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aeris Indstria e investors about its performance. Aeris Indstria is selling for under 4.25 as of the 1st of March 2025; that is 1.62% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aeris Indstria e and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aeris Indstria over a given investment horizon. Check out Aeris Indstria Correlation, Aeris Indstria Volatility and Aeris Indstria Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aeris Indstria.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aeris Indstria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aeris Indstria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aeris Indstria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aeris Indstria 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aeris Indstria's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aeris Indstria.
0.00
03/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aeris Indstria on March 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aeris Indstria e or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aeris Indstria over 720 days. Aeris Indstria is related to or competes with Mliuz SA, Neogrid Participaes, Pet Center, and Locaweb Servios. Aeris Indstria e Comrcio de Equipamentos para Gerao de Energia S.A More

Aeris Indstria Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aeris Indstria's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aeris Indstria e upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aeris Indstria Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aeris Indstria's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aeris Indstria's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aeris Indstria historical prices to predict the future Aeris Indstria's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.2515.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.204.0815.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.8815.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.194.304.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aeris Indstria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aeris Indstria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aeris Indstria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aeris Indstria e.

Aeris Indstria e Backtested Returns

Aeris Indstria appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Aeris Indstria e secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0174, which signifies that the company had a 0.0174 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Aeris Indstria e, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Aeris Indstria's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0201, downside deviation of 7.24, and Mean Deviation of 6.16 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Aeris Indstria holds a performance score of 1. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.36, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aeris Indstria are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Aeris Indstria is expected to outperform it. Please check Aeris Indstria's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Aeris Indstria's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Aeris Indstria e has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aeris Indstria time series from 12th of March 2023 to 6th of March 2024 and 6th of March 2024 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aeris Indstria e price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Aeris Indstria price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.46

Aeris Indstria e lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aeris Indstria stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aeris Indstria's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aeris Indstria returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aeris Indstria has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aeris Indstria regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aeris Indstria stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aeris Indstria stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aeris Indstria stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aeris Indstria Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aeris Indstria's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aeris Indstria stock have on its future price. Aeris Indstria autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aeris Indstria autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aeris Indstria stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aeris Indstria e.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Aeris Stock Analysis

When running Aeris Indstria's price analysis, check to measure Aeris Indstria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeris Indstria is operating at the current time. Most of Aeris Indstria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeris Indstria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeris Indstria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeris Indstria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.